Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.125850 0.140240 0.156151 0.175149 0.197346 0.222620 0.253805
2024-10-27 0.102344 0.120815 0.142908 0.171651 0.208615 0.255345 0.320215
2024-11-03 0.090720 0.112189 0.139580 0.177924 0.231634 0.306507 0.423276
2024-11-10 0.081747 0.104929 0.136099 0.182509 0.252547 0.359270 0.545428
2024-11-17 0.072720 0.096008 0.128607 0.179556 0.261237 0.395391 0.653763
2024-11-24 0.065186 0.088047 0.121119 0.174944 0.265825 0.425327 0.761998
2024-12-01 0.057726 0.079287 0.111246 0.164868 0.259082 0.433313 0.829754
2024-12-08 0.053710 0.075149 0.107803 0.164516 0.268848 0.474126 0.986466
2024-12-15 0.051265 0.073100 0.107303 0.168892 0.287909 0.538646 1.234924
2024-12-22 0.047345 0.068370 0.101932 0.163879 0.287757 0.561790 1.385759
2024-12-29 0.045845 0.067335 0.102522 0.169696 0.310577 0.644717 1.776146
2025-01-05 0.043192 0.064191 0.099187 0.167614 0.316140 0.687093 2.064775
2025-01-12 0.041173 0.062020 0.097484 0.168786 0.329991 0.758741 2.550397
2025-01-19 0.038487 0.058536 0.093145 0.164154 0.329597 0.791042 2.908378
2025-01-26 0.037419 0.057738 0.093596 0.169465 0.354650 0.911691 3.902973
2025-02-02 0.036264 0.056685 0.093455 0.173490 0.377557 1.038079 5.217085
2025-02-09 0.034391 0.054216 0.090386 0.170612 0.381288 1.098812 6.224445
2025-02-16 0.032513 0.051617 0.086854 0.166251 0.380025 1.140866 7.211355
2025-02-23 0.030225 0.048146 0.081373 0.156808 0.362382 1.110004 7.420304
2025-03-02 0.029090 0.046723 0.079843 0.156471 0.371758 1.199353 9.326025
2025-03-09 0.028487 0.046242 0.080153 0.160559 0.395738 1.370544 13.336627
2025-03-16 0.027070 0.044153 0.077030 0.155868 0.390821 1.400312 15.297439
2025-03-23 0.026694 0.044011 0.077912 0.161308 0.420757 1.634041 24.071884